On Tuesday, May 12, the San Antonio Spurs host the Minnesota Timberwolves in a big Game 5 in the 2025-26 NBA Playoffs. Fortunately for San Antonio, Victor Wembanyama will be available for this one, despite the fact that he threw a nasty elbow at Naz Reid last game. However, that’s for the best for us basketball fans — and bettors — in what has been the best series of the postseason thus far. Well, will Wembanyama get the Spurs back in the win column, giving his team a 3-2 lead in the series? Find out in our Timberwolves vs. Spurs betting preview. Also check out our VSiN NBA Playoffs Betting Hub for all of our NBA postseason content.
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How To Watch Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 5
When: 8:00 pm ET on Tuesday, May 12
Where: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas
Channel: NBC/Peacock
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 5 Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of 11:00 pm ET on Monday, May 11
Moneyline: Spurs -410, Timberwolves +320
Spread: Spurs -10.5 (-105), Timberwolves +10.5 (-115)
Total: Over 218.5 (-108), Under 218.5 (-112)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 5 Picks
Embed from Getty ImagesThe Spurs could have easily been forced to play this game without Wembanyama. If a lesser player delivered that same blow to Reid, we’d be looking at a multi-game suspension. And if it was Draymond Green, Dillon Brooks, or Grayson Allen, we’d be talking about jail time. But Wembanyama will be out there for San Antonio, meaning this awesome series can go on without any hiccups. With Minnesota having won Game 4, we’re now set up for a best-of-three series the rest of the way.
The Spurs are going to feel great about their chances. For the most part, San Antonio has outplayed Minnesota in this series, as Game 2 was a blowout, Game 3 was largely controlled by the Spurs, and Game 4 was one that could have gone their way. The Wembanyama ejection was a killer for San Antonio, yet the team still had a real shot at winning in the fourth quarter. That said, outside of Game 1, the Spurs have looked like a much better team. But have they looked better to the extent that they should be favored by double digits in a huge game? I don’t think so.
While San Antonio has looked a little better than Minnesota, these teams have basically played to an even score in every game outside of the blowout in Game 2. The Timberwolves have flashed their defensive ability, Anthony Edwards is getting better game by game, and there’s probably more that Chris Finch’s team can improve on the rest of the series. One thing I’m keeping a close eye on is the play of Julius Randle. We have seen a lot of turnovers from the southpaw, who looks to be pressing when defended in a crowd. However, he has been defended primarily by smaller wings, which shouldn’t work. Social media might like to hate on Randle, but he’s a borderline All-Star and a player with real power going to the basket. Eventually he’s going to muscle those guys out of the way and have a big game. Well, I’m banking on it happening here, taking Randle to go Over 26.5 PRA in Game 5.
If Randle does play better, that takes a lot of the attention off Edwards, opening things up for the star guard to attack. However, Edwards hasn’t even needed that extra room. He’s looking more explosive than he did early in the series, his shots are falling, and he’s taking pride in hanging with Wembanyama when it comes to production.
San Antonio probably does have a little more overall talent, and that’s especially true with Donte DiVincenzo out for Minnesota. But the Timberwolves make up for that in toughness and playoff experience, and I don’t see this team going away quietly.
It should also be noted that Minnesota is 13-8 against the spread as an underdog of 10 or more under Finch. Also, San Antonio currently has De’Aaron Fox listed a questionable. It’s just really hard to find a good case for the Spurs to be this heavily favored. I’ll take the points.
Best Bets: Timberwolves +10.5 (-108) & Randle Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-118)
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