The energy in Madison Square Garden will be a bit different on Wednesday, June 10. In Game 3 of the NBA Finals, the Knicks hosted the Spurs expecting to take a 3-0 lead. New York had just won two straight road games against San Antonio, and the vibes were high as the series shifted to Manhattan. Well, after a 115-111 road win for the Spurs, it definitely feels like there will be more nervous energy in the arena — and all of New York City — in Game 4. Will New York find a way to nip this in the bud, finding a way to keep this series from being 2-2 heading back to Texas? Find out in our Spurs vs. Knicks betting preview. Also check out our VSiN NBA Finals Betting Hub for all of our NBA Finals content.

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How To Watch Spurs vs. Knicks Game 4

When: 8:30 pm ET on Wednesday, June 10

Where: Madison Square Garden in New York, New York

Channel: ABC

Spurs vs. Knicks Game 4 Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of 11:00 pm ET on Tuesday, June 9

Moneyline: Knicks -130, Spurs +110

Spread: Knicks -2.5 (-105), Spurs +2.5 (-115)

Total: Over 216.5 (-112), Under 216.5 (-108)

Spurs vs. Knicks Game 4 Picks

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Heading into Game 3, it was clear that there was a worldwide lack of belief in San Antonio. That led to some wildly uneven betting splits, with casual bettors loading up on New York. However, while the Knicks had most of the support, the oddsmakers weren’t budging with the line. In fact, after New York opened as a 2.5-point favorite after Game 2, that line was touching 1.5 in several spots when Game 3 ultimately tipped. That RLM (reverse line movement) was enough for me to go in on the Spurs, and what we saw was San Antonio’s most complete two-way performance of the NBA Finals. The Spurs ended up earning a 115-111 victory, setting up a gigantic Game 4.

As we turn the page to yet another spectacle of a basketball game in Madison Square Garden, you’ll definitely find more people that actually believe the Spurs can even things up. But when you look at the betting splits, or listen to people close to sportsbook operators, it’s clear that there’s once again a need a for San Antonio to win. It might not be as dire as it was in Game 3, but the public is on New York. Well, with that in mind, I’m looking for a way to back the Spurs again. And once again, I like the idea of taking San Antonio on an alternate spread of +7.5, providing us with some extra cushion in case the free throw game at the end goes New York’s way. And to get a better price on that +7.5, I’m grabbing Stephon Castle to have at least four rebounds.

Honestly, there’s more than just the betting splits when looking for reasons to back the Spurs. In Game 3, we saw more of the four-guard lineup I have been clamoring for on Hardwood Handicappers, with Mitch Johnson surrounding Victor Wembanyama with Castle, Dylan Harper, De’Aaron Fox, and Devin Vassell. What that does is give San Antonio more playmaking options, more competent ball handling and decision making, and fewer places for the Knicks to hide Jalen Brunson. When Julian Champagnie is on the floor, Brunson can cover him without having to worry about being beat off the bounce. That’s not the case with the other four. And Champagnie was great in a more limited role in Game 3.

Playing the four guards together also has its benefits defensively, with all of them being capable of pressuring Brunson. Playing aggressive full-court defense is clearly tiring New York’s superstar out, and it’s also preventing the Knicks from running good offense. Their overall passes were way down in Game 4, and the ball movement that helped New York win 13 straight was nonexistent.

On top of all of that, Wembanyama finally outplayed Karl-Anthony Towns, who had trouble getting himself going with the Knicks’ offensive execution falling off a cliff.

If a better moneyline price was available with San Antonio, I’d be jumping on this team to win Game 4. But unless we see something in the +120 range pop up, I’ll take my +7.5 and hope for four boards out of Castle. The young guard has had at least four rebounds in six consecutive games, and he has also had at least four rebounds in 15 of the last 16 games. He’s one of the best rebounding guards in basketball, and it’s hard to see him disappearing on the glass in a huge game.

In addition to playing that alternate line parlay, I’m also grabbing Vassell to have at least three triples. Vassell doesn’t get the same love as the other guards on this Spurs team, but he has knocked down three triples in back-to-back games. His sturdy defense has also earned him 37.3 minutes per game in this series. Well, as long as Vassell is on the floor, he’s a floor-spacing threat. And he’s a dangerous one with how much attention New York has to pay to Wembanyama and Harper.

PARLAY: Spurs Alt +7.5 & Castle Alt Rebounds 4+ (-115 – 1.5 units)
Bet: Vassell Over 2.5 Made Threes (+120 – 0.5 units)

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